The Gold Barometer

Published by The Gold Barometer. Text last edited October 5, 2026. Figures as of October 9, 2026.

What $10,000 of Gold Bought in Each Year Since 1971 Is Worth Now

As of October 9, 2026, $10,000 of gold bought in the middle year from 1971 to 2025 is worth $38,567 after inflation. The table below values that $10,000 for every year, at the September 2026 average price of $4,319. The Gold Barometer reads 33 out of 100.

Years ahead of the price paid, after inflation

55of 55

Valued at the September 2026 average

Longest wait below the price paid

303months

Bought in 1980 · 25 years and 3 months

One email per zone change

Get one email the day gold buying conditions enter a new zone. Up or down.

Since 1971 that has happened 94 times, about twice a year. The last time was March 2026.

What the record says

Every purchase year from 1971 to 2025 is ahead at the September 2026 price, before and after inflation. The way there was not smooth. Gold bought in 1980 spent 25 years and 3 months below the price paid.

Two figures for each year. The first counts dollars. The second counts what the dollars buy, using the US consumer price index. The gap between them is wide for the early years and narrow for the recent ones.

The table is only as kind as the September 2026 price. It is recomputed each month, and a lower price would turn the most recent years negative first. A buyer also paid a premium above the average price, which the table leaves out.

$10,000 of gold, year by year

Read one row across: what the year cost, what it is worth now in dollars, then in buying power.

Year boughtPrice paid, year averageWorth nowChange, before inflationWorth now, after inflationChange, after inflationWorst drop on the wayLongest run below the price paidBarometer that year
1971 $41 $1,055,560 +10455.6% $127,933 +1179.3% none none 58 · Mixed
1972 $58 $742,521 +7325.2% $92,999 +830.0% none none 14 · Historically very unfavorable
1973 $97 $443,733 +4337.3% $59,103 +491.0% none none 42 · Mixed
1974 $159 $271,209 +2612.1% $40,057 +300.6% -30.9% 26 months 58 · Mixed
1975 $161 $268,400 +2584.0% $43,148 +331.5% -31.6% 22 months 64 · Favorable
1976 $125 $345,981 +3359.8% $58,919 +489.2% none none 56 · Mixed
1977 $148 $292,483 +2824.8% $53,093 +430.9% none none 51 · Mixed
1978 $193 $223,589 +2135.9% $43,715 +337.2% none none 47 · Mixed
1979 $307 $140,799 +1308.0% $30,790 +207.9% -16.5% 30 months 53 · Mixed
1980 $608 $71,056 +610.6% $17,499 +75.0% -57.9% 303 months 52 · Mixed
1981 $460 $93,942 +839.4% $25,492 +154.9% -44.3% 212 months 33 · Unfavorable
1982 $376 $114,943 +1049.4% $33,227 +232.3% -31.9% 81 months 22 · Unfavorable
1983 $423 $102,205 +922.0% $30,433 +204.3% -39.4% 194 months 15 · Historically very unfavorable
1984 $361 $119,806 +1098.1% $37,242 +272.4% -29.0% 80 months 25 · Unfavorable
1985 $318 $135,818 +1258.2% $43,742 +337.4% -19.5% 55 months 29 · Unfavorable
1986 $368 $117,444 +1074.4% $38,567 +285.7% -30.4% 80 months 22 · Unfavorable
1987 $446 $96,748 +867.5% $32,914 +229.1% -42.7% 206 months 21 · Unfavorable
1988 $437 $98,814 +888.1% $34,955 +249.5% -41.4% 190 months 31 · Unfavorable
1989 $381 $113,236 +1032.4% $41,992 +319.9% -32.9% 85 months 42 · Mixed
1990 $384 $112,621 +1026.2% $44,016 +340.2% -33.2% 86 months 42 · Mixed
1991 $362 $119,227 +1092.3% $48,580 +385.8% -29.3% 80 months 47 · Mixed
1992 $344 $125,674 +1156.7% $52,763 +427.6% -25.5% 67 months 43 · Mixed
1993 $360 $120,083 +1100.8% $51,938 +419.4% -28.8% 79 months 45 · Mixed
1994 $384 $112,498 +1025.0% $49,903 +399.0% -33.3% 86 months 33 · Unfavorable
1995 $384 $112,425 +1024.3% $51,272 +412.7% -33.4% 86 months 41 · Mixed
1996 $388 $111,434 +1014.3% $52,299 +423.0% -33.9% 82 months 43 · Mixed
1997 $331 $130,418 +1204.2% $62,638 +526.4% -22.7% 59 months 51 · Mixed
1998 $294 $146,863 +1368.6% $71,644 +616.4% -12.9% 23 months 50 · Mixed
1999 $279 $154,942 +1449.4% $77,244 +672.4% -6.7% 13 months 52 · Mixed
2000 $279 $154,803 +1448.0% $79,750 +697.5% -6.8% 8 months 57 · Mixed
2001 $271 $159,471 +1494.7% $84,503 +745.0% none none 66 · Favorable
2002 $310 $139,323 +1293.2% $75,016 +650.2% none none 45 · Mixed
2003 $364 $118,790 +1087.9% $65,429 +554.3% none none 57 · Mixed
2004 $409 $105,556 +955.6% $59,687 +496.9% none none 48 · Mixed
2005 $445 $97,093 +870.9% $56,767 +467.7% none none 67 · Favorable
2006 $604 $71,457 +614.6% $43,116 +331.2% none none 44 · Mixed
2007 $697 $61,995 +520.0% $38,497 +285.0% none none 50 · Mixed
2008 $872 $49,544 +395.4% $31,912 +219.1% -1.5% 1 months 49 · Mixed
2009 $973 $44,388 +343.9% $28,521 +185.2% none none 57 · Mixed
2010 $1,225 $35,267 +252.7% $23,025 +130.2% -12.1% 12 months 52 · Mixed
2011 $1,569 $27,524 +175.2% $18,540 +85.4% -31.4% 82 months 54 · Mixed
2012 $1,670 $25,869 +158.7% $17,776 +77.8% -35.6% 86 months 60 · Favorable
2013 $1,412 $30,595 +206.0% $21,324 +113.2% -23.8% 66 months 63 · Favorable
2014 $1,266 $34,127 +241.3% $24,176 +141.8% -15.0% 17 months 60 · Favorable
2015 $1,161 $37,209 +272.1% $26,387 +163.9% -5.4% 1 months 61 · Favorable
2016 $1,249 $34,580 +245.8% $24,840 +148.4% -4.6% 5 months 56 · Mixed
2017 $1,258 $34,346 +243.5% $25,198 +152.0% -4.7% 6 months 60 · Favorable
2018 $1,269 $34,028 +240.3% $25,567 +155.7% none none 61 · Favorable
2019 $1,393 $31,014 +210.1% $23,737 +137.4% none none 57 · Mixed
2020 $1,770 $24,398 +144.0% $18,905 +89.1% -6.0% 5 months 52 · Mixed
2021 $1,800 $24,000 +140.0% $19,454 +94.5% -7.5% 6 months 57 · Mixed
2022 $1,801 $23,984 +139.8% $20,985 +109.9% none none 50 · Mixed
2023 $1,943 $22,231 +122.3% $20,274 +102.7% none none 46 · Mixed
2024 $2,388 $18,089 +80.9% $16,993 +69.9% none none 37 · Unfavorable
2025 $3,442 $12,550 +25.5% $12,110 +21.1% none none 37 · Unfavorable

Price paid is the average of the year's twelve monthly average prices, World Bank series, in US dollars an ounce. Worth now uses the September 2026 average of $4,319. After inflation divides each price by the US consumer price index for its month, so the two values compare buying power. Worst drop is the lowest monthly average after the year, against the price paid. Longest run below counts consecutive months under the price paid. Barometer that year is the average of the year's twelve monthly readings. The current year joins the table once it is complete. Where a month's index is not yet published, the last published one is used.

Why the two columns differ so much

$10,000 of gold bought across 1971 at $41 an ounce is worth $1,055,560 at the September 2026 price. That is +10455.6% in dollars. But those dollars buy far less than they did in 1971. Measured in buying power, the same purchase is worth $127,933, or +1179.3%.

The second figure is the one to compare across years. It answers the question a saver asks: does the metal buy more than the money would have. Across the 55 years, the middle answer after inflation is +285.7%, with 1971 at the top at +1179.3% and 2025 at the bottom at +21.1%.

The years that took longest to come back

19 purchase years spent five years or more in a row below the price paid, before inflation. The 1980 buyer waited 25 years and 3 months, and saw the price -57.9% below what was paid at the low. A gain on paper today says nothing about what those years felt like to hold.

  • 1980: 303 months below $608, worst drop -57.9%
  • 1981: 212 months below $460, worst drop -44.3%
  • 1982: 81 months below $376, worst drop -31.9%
  • 1983: 194 months below $423, worst drop -39.4%
  • 1984: 80 months below $361, worst drop -29.0%
  • 1986: 80 months below $368, worst drop -30.4%
  • 1987: 206 months below $446, worst drop -42.7%
  • 1988: 190 months below $437, worst drop -41.4%
  • 1989: 85 months below $381, worst drop -32.9%
  • 1990: 86 months below $384, worst drop -33.2%
  • 1991: 80 months below $362, worst drop -29.3%
  • 1992: 67 months below $344, worst drop -25.5%
  • 1993: 79 months below $360, worst drop -28.8%
  • 1994: 86 months below $384, worst drop -33.3%
  • 1995: 86 months below $384, worst drop -33.4%
  • 1996: 82 months below $388, worst drop -33.9%
  • 2011: 82 months below $1,569, worst drop -31.4%
  • 2012: 86 months below $1,670, worst drop -35.6%
  • 2013: 66 months below $1,412, worst drop -23.8%

What a seller gave up or escaped by selling in months like today's is on should you sell your gold now. The price itself, year by year before and after inflation, is on the gold price history page. The same episodes, measured from the peak rather than the purchase, are on the page on recovery after each peak. What a buyer who stepped in after a 20% fall got is on gold price dropping: buy the dip or stay out.

What the barometer read in those years

The last column is the average of the year's twelve monthly readings, rebuilt with only the data known at the time. Across the 55 years it ran through the Mixed, Historically very unfavorable, Favorable, Unfavorable zones. 1971 read 58, Mixed. 2025 read 37, Unfavorable. The score measures buying conditions against the record. It is not a forecast, and this table does not test it.

The instrument behind these numbers

33/100
Buying conditions · October 9, 2026
Buying conditions today
Unfavorable
Months like this since 1971
153
Purchase years in the table
55

Which of the seven conditions moved this month is on why is gold going up or down. Each condition has its own page.

Related questions

Common questions

What if I had invested $10,000 in gold 20 years ago?

Bought across 2006 at an average of $604 an ounce, $10,000 is worth $71,457 at the September 2026 average, a change of +614.6%. In buying power, $43,116, or +331.2%. The worst drop on the way was 0.0%.

Why are the two values so far apart for the early years?

Because of inflation. $10,000 of 1971 gold is worth $1,055,560 in today's dollars, but $127,933 in dollars of equal buying power. The second figure is the one to compare across years.

Which year had the longest wait below the price paid?

1980. Gold bought across that year at $608 spent 303 months in a row, 25 years and 3 months, below that price before inflation. Its worst drop on the way was -57.9%.

Does the table include premiums, storage or taxes?

No. It compares monthly average prices only. A buyer paid a premium above that price and may pay to store the metal, so real results are lower than the table shows. Nothing here concerns retirement accounts.

Why the September 2026 price and not today's?

The price paid is a monthly average, so the value now is one too. Comparing a monthly average with a single day's price would mix two measures. The table is recomputed each month when the new average is known.

Today's reading, with the buyer's verdict and the evidence behind it, is on the home page. The whole record, month by month, is on what every score meant next since 1971. One email goes out the day the reading moves to a new zone, in either direction. The sign-up is just below.

One email per zone change

Get one email the day gold buying conditions enter a new zone. Up or down.

Since 1971 that has happened 94 times, about twice a year. The last time was March 2026.