The Gold Barometer

Published by The Gold Barometer. Text last edited October 1, 2026. Figures as of October 9, 2026.

Why Is Gold So Valuable?

Gold is valuable because it is scarce, it does not decay, and it has stood behind money for longer than any currency has existed. The scarce part can be measured: the world mined about 3,300 tonnes in 2024, against 64,000 tonnes of known reserves still in the ground. The 27 largest reporting countries keep 29,131 tonnes of it as official savings. As of October 9, 2026, The Gold Barometer reads 33 out of 100.

Tonnes mined worldwide in 2024

3,300

64,000 tonnes of known reserves left · USGS

Tonnes held by the 27 largest reporting countries

29,131

8,134 of them in the United States · IMF

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Since 1971 that has happened 94 times, about twice a year. The last time was March 2026.

What can be measured

A year of mining adds about 3,300 tonnes to a stock that never wears out. At that pace, the known reserves in the ground would last about 19 years. Governments keep 29,131 tonnes of what exists, in the 27 countries this site follows alone.

The price is the other measurable thing. The yearly average went from $41 an ounce in 1971 to $3,442 in 2025: 84.1 times more in dollars, 10.6 times more after inflation.

None of this makes the price steady. After the January 1980 peak, the price took 316 months to get back in dollars and 541 months after inflation. Valuable is not the same as safe from falling.

Scarce: what comes out of the ground each year

The world mined about 3,300 tonnes of gold in 2024, up from 3,250 the year before. China, Russia, Australia, Canada and the United States produced 41% of it between them. Known reserves, the gold that is mapped and can be mined at today's prices, stood at 64,000 tonnes. Gold is not the rarest metal, but it is rare enough that a year's digging moves the total stock by very little.

That is the first half of scarcity. The second half is that nobody can make more. A central bank can print money, a company can issue shares, a farmer can plant more wheat. A mine can only dig what is there, slowly, at rising cost.

Durable: nothing refined is ever lost

Gold does not rust, tarnish or react with air or water. It can be melted, split and recast and still be the same metal. A coin struck two thousand years ago and a bar poured last week are worth the same per ounce. Almost all the gold ever refined still exists, in vaults, jewelry and coins. That is why the price of gold is a price for the whole stock, not for this year's supply.

Wanted: who buys it

The USGS estimates worldwide consumption in 2024, leaving out the investment funds. Jewelry took 45%, central banks and other institutions 21%, physical bars 19%, coins and medals 7%, and electronics 6%. Jewelry is the largest buyer, and in much of the world jewelry is also savings. Industry uses gold where nothing else works, in connectors and electronics, but in small amounts.

Held: what governments keep

The strongest sign that gold is treated as the reserve behind money is that governments keep it. The 27 countries this site follows report 29,131 tonnes to the International Monetary Fund, 8,134 of them in the United States. The holdings of each country, and who has been adding, are on how much gold each country holds. Their buying is one of the seven conditions in the score, on the central bank and fund demand page.

Agreed: the reason that cannot be measured

Scarcity, durability and demand explain why gold could serve as money. They do not explain why it did, rather than some other rare, lasting metal. The last reason is agreement. Gold was accepted as payment across empires and centuries, and each person who accepts it does so because the next one will. That habit is old enough to be treated as a fact, and this site treats it as one. It cannot be measured, so it is not in the score.

What the price has done with that value

Until 1968 the dollar price of gold was fixed at $35 an ounce. From 1971, where this site's record begins, the yearly average has risen 84.1 times in dollars and 10.6 times after inflation. The highest monthly average on record was $5,020 in February 2026. The whole table is on the gold price history page.

Value and price are not the same thing. The reasons above have not changed in fifty years, and the price has fallen by a fifth or more 5 times in that span. After inflation, the January 1980 peak took 541 months to come back. Where today's price stands against its own past is on is gold expensive right now. The entry price part of the score reads 34 out of 100 today.

Why the price moves if the reasons do not

Because the reasons above set a floor of demand, not a price. Day to day, the price answers to the yield on safe money after inflation and to the dollar. It answers to how much central banks and funds are buying, and to how crowded the trade is. Those are the seven conditions The Gold Barometer measures. What moved them over the last month is on why gold is going up or down right now.

The instrument behind these numbers

33/100
Buying conditions · October 9, 2026
Buying conditions today
Unfavorable
Months like this since 1971
153
Entry price part today
34 out of 100

Which of the seven conditions moved this month is on why is gold going up or down. Each condition has its own page.

Related questions

Common questions

Why is gold so valuable?

Three measurable reasons and one that is not. It is scarce: about 3,300 tonnes a year come out of the ground, worldwide, against 64,000 tonnes of known reserves. It lasts: gold does not rust, tarnish or decay, so every ounce ever refined is still somewhere. Governments hold it: the 27 largest reporting countries keep 29,131 tonnes as official savings. The fourth reason is agreement. People have accepted gold as payment for thousands of years, and that habit is itself what makes the next person accept it.

Why is gold worth more than silver?

Mostly because far less of it exists. Silver is mined in much larger quantities and is used up in industry, while most gold ever mined is still held. On the September 2026 monthly averages, one ounce of gold bought 66.9 ounces of silver. That figure has ranged from 16.4 to 111.5 since 1960, so the gap is wide but not fixed.

Does gold have value if it pays nothing?

Yes, in the way a painting or a plot of land does. Its value is what the next holder will pay, not an income it produces. That is also why its price answers to the yield on safe money. When a government bond pays more than inflation, holding gold costs that yield. When it pays less, holding gold costs nothing. That trade is one of the seven conditions in the score.

Has gold always kept its value?

Over long stretches, more than most things. The yearly average price went from $41 in 1971 to $3,442 in 2025, 10.6 times more after inflation. Over shorter stretches, no. After the January 1980 peak, the price took 541 months to get back to the same buying power. Valuable and stable are two different words.

Where do these figures come from?

Mine production, reserves and the uses of gold are from the U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025. Official holdings are what each country reports to the International Monetary Fund, read every night by this site. Prices are World Bank monthly averages. Nothing on this page is an estimate of our own.

Source for mining, reserves and uses: U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025, gold chapter, figures in metric tons of gold content. Source for official holdings: International Monetary Fund. Prices: World Bank commodity price data, monthly averages.

Today's reading, with the buyer's verdict and the evidence behind it, is on the home page. One email goes out the day the reading moves to a new zone, in either direction. The sign-up is just below.

One email per zone change

Get one email the day gold buying conditions enter a new zone. Up or down.

Since 1971 that has happened 94 times, about twice a year. The last time was March 2026.